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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+6.92vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+1.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+2.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+1.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+1.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.02+2.36vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.74vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-0.34vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.14vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.03-1.58vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-3.90vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.15vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.03+0.91vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.23-0.44vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.09-1.23vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.53Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.97Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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6.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.14Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.42Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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15.91Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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15.56Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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15.77Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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17.24U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 18.9% | 28.2% | 29.9% | 13.7% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 23.5% | 31.8% | 23.6% | 9.6% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 22.0% | 28.1% | 28.2% | 11.3% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 18.1% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.