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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+5.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.23vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+6.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.03+4.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.15vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-0.89vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.98vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-2.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.14vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-3.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.02-2.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.51vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.03+0.90vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.09-0.30vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.32vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.23-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.64Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.49Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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15.9Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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15.7Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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17.32U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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15.38Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 16.5% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 17.3% | 26.9% | 31.4% | 13.5% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 20.8% | 29.5% | 27.1% | 11.5% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 67.8% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 24.2% | 30.0% | 24.3% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.