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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.18vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.14vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+4.59vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+5.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+1.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.26vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-0.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.49vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-2.68vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.02-0.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.92vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-2.31vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.52-5.42vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.23+1.07vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-4.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.53vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.09-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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6.72Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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15.07Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.66Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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16.53U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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15.32Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 19.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 34.2% | 39.9% | 10.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 9.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 73.6% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 33.1% | 39.9% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.