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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.98vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+5.62vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.35vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+3.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-0.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+0.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.02+2.33vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.73vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-3.07vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-4.38vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.03-3.58vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.00vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.09+0.24vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.23-0.79vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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4.29Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.42Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.42Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.0Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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15.24Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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15.21Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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16.58U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 18.6% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 34.8% | 40.5% | 13.9% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 37.4% | 39.7% | 12.2% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 6.7% | 17.5% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.