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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+4.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-0.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+1.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.83vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.02+0.49vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-3.74vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.03vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-4.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.79vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.09+1.29vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.03-5.72vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.23-0.84vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.86Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.97Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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15.29Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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9.28Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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15.16Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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16.57U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 17.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 5.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 32.3% | 41.6% | 15.1% |
| James Barry | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 39.0% | 37.5% | 11.9% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 6.9% | 18.3% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.