← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.87+7.30vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.75vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.35+7.04vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.10+0.30vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.79+0.16vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.86vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.13+0.22vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.79+0.26vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.49-2.98vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.77-1.36vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.82-2.58vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.80vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.22vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.80-5.91vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Military Academy-1.54+1.56vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University-0.51-0.59vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-0.81-1.26vs Predicted
-
18Williams College-2.39-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.3Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
-
5.75U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.04Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
-
4.3Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
5.16Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.22Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.26Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
6.02Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.64Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.42Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
7.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
-
8.09Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
16.56U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
-
15.41Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
15.74Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
17.26Williams College-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.0% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 11.8% | 22.7% | 37.3% | 24.5% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 32.8% | 34.3% | 16.6% | 5.5% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 26.2% | 32.8% | 25.3% | 7.6% |
| Margaret Shilling | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 20.7% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.