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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+4.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+6.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.77+5.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.28vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+3.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+0.06vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+0.16vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87+0.02vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-0.63vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.94vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.35-1.07vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-3.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.54vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.81+0.75vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.51-0.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.43vs Predicted
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18Williams College-2.39-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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4.28Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.21Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.67Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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15.75Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.39Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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16.57U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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17.28Williams College-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.2% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 4.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 26.1% | 34.5% | 24.4% | 7.3% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 34.5% | 34.5% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 38.0% | 25.5% |
| Margaret Shilling | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 21.7% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.