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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+4.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.34vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+5.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+2.03vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+2.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87+0.08vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-0.60vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79-1.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.91vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-4.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.24vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.81+1.99vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.35-5.21vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.51-0.34vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.05-0.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.54-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.34Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.58Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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15.99Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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15.66Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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16.34Williams College-1.050.0%1st Place
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16.78U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.9% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 6.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 24.3% | 27.0% | 25.3% | 16.6% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 25.4% | 31.2% | 20.9% | 12.3% |
| Michael May | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 29.5% | 26.3% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.