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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.87+7.26vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+6.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+2.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.36vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-1.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13-0.81vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35+0.93vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.80-1.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.00vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-3.25vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.81+2.94vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.82-5.93vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.77-6.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.54+0.93vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.05-0.66vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.51-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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8.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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4.42Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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8.75Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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15.94Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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16.93U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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16.34Williams College-1.050.0%1st Place
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15.48Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.0% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 21.4% | 27.1% | 26.5% | 16.5% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 48.9% |
| Michael May | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 27.9% | 26.1% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 28.7% | 30.6% | 21.4% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.