← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.79+4.05vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.56vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+4.92vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.10+0.37vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.13+2.12vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.49+0.25vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.80+1.42vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.77+0.30vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.79-0.45vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.82-1.78vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.87-2.72vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-4.19vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.90vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University-0.51+1.31vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.35-5.19vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Military Academy-1.54+0.27vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-0.81-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.05Harvard University3.790.2%1st Place
-
5.56U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
-
4.37Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
7.12Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.25Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.42Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.3Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.55Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.22Boston College2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.28Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
15.31Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
9.81Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
-
16.27U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
-
15.65Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 6.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 39.0% | 33.2% | 18.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 13.5% | 26.3% | 57.2% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 29.2% | 38.5% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.