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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+6.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+3.12vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+3.92vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.77+3.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.87+2.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79-1.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.73vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79-0.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.80-1.73vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-3.61vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-3.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.29vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.35-4.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.54+1.23vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81-0.36vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.51-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.57Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.96Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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16.23U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.64Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.36Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bates | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.2% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 13.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 14.1% | 25.3% | 56.6% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 39.7% | 25.6% |
| Haley Collins | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 39.2% | 33.1% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.