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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+6.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+4.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+1.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+0.05vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+1.98vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+0.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+0.30vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35+1.03vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.80-1.72vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.87-2.79vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.79-3.62vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-4.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.92vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.81+0.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.54+0.29vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.51-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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4.31Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.03Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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8.38Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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15.54Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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16.29U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.36Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bates | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.9% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 14.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 29.5% | 38.1% | 24.3% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 12.4% | 26.4% | 58.3% |
| Haley Collins | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 38.8% | 33.6% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.