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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.25vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92-0.68vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.52-0.42vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.59+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.59-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.42California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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2.32Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.39Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Carrick | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 14.2% | 3.8% |
| Maeve White | 36.3% | 26.1% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.7% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 3.9% |
| Louise Currie | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Oakes | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 27.6% | 49.4% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 11.6% | 31.2% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.