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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.63vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.40vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.59+1.34vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.59-3.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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5.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.34Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 40.5% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.9% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 14.2% | 3.8% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 15.4% | 3.9% |
| Kendall Sanson | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Louise Currie | 9.7% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 32.6% | 40.1% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 26.6% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.