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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+1.72vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.62vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.59+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.59-2.55vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.72University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.42California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.37Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 40.8% | 23.5% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.6% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kendall Sanson | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 21.3% | 13.8% | 3.5% |
| Kyra Oakes | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 4.2% |
| Louise Currie | 8.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 12.4% | 31.1% | 40.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 26.9% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.