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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.45vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.59+1.33vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-2.36vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.33Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 40.4% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.5% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Louise Currie | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 14.4% | 3.9% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Kendall Sanson | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 13.6% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 32.9% | 39.7% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 26.0% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.