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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.62vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.46vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.30vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.59-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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6.45Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.3California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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5.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 39.7% | 24.0% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.6% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 15.0% | 4.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 4.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Louise Currie | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 32.0% | 38.6% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 26.6% | 50.5% |
| Kendall Sanson | 9.0% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.