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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.11+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.34-0.03vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.13+1.72vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.95-0.38vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70-1.01vs Predicted
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6Queen's University-0.74-0.24vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.78-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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1.97University of Pennsylvania2.340.4%1st Place
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4.72Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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3.62Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.99Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.76Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
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5.72Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Cooper | 33.9% | 30.4% | 21.9% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 41.6% | 32.4% | 17.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 27.8% | 22.2% | 12.1% |
| Stephanie Hart | 9.4% | 14.8% | 21.7% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 6.9% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 25.8% | 20.4% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 29.5% | 39.1% |
| Geneva O'Brien | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 25.9% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.