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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.52+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.43vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.59+0.40vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.71vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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4.63University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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6.4Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 39.7% | 26.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 9.4% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Louise Currie | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 16.5% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 4.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 11.6% | 31.4% | 40.3% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 26.3% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.