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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.45vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.59+1.35vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59-1.56vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.72vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.35Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.39California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 40.1% | 25.0% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.6% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kendall Sanson | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Oakes | 7.9% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 14.4% | 3.9% |
| Louise Currie | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 14.0% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 32.1% | 40.1% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 26.1% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.