← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.92+1.30vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University0.59+4.46vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.66vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.41vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.59-0.52vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.78vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California1.52-2.39vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.63vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.37vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.3Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
-
6.46Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
3.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
-
4.41University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
-
4.48University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
-
5.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
4.61University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
-
6.37California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
8.86University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 39.5% | 25.5% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Louise Currie | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Kendall Sanson | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 32.1% | 39.7% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 27.1% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.