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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.62+3.38vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University0.59+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.59vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92-1.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.43vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.60vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.75vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.47Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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2.31Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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6.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Oakes | 10.2% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 14.8% | 4.4% |
| Louise Currie | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Maeve White | 37.2% | 26.4% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 17.8% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 4.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 31.5% | 38.5% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 26.7% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.