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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.56vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+0.31vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59-0.52vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.56vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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2.31Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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6.48Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.35California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 17.7% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Maeve White | 39.5% | 24.4% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 3.7% |
| Kendall Sanson | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Louise Currie | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.0% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 30.5% | 40.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 25.9% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.