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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.62+2.49vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52+0.62vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.59+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.40vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.59-2.53vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.33Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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6.37California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 40.9% | 24.3% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.6% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 4.1% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 32.4% | 40.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 26.3% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.