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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+1.69vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.59+2.45vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59-0.54vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.60vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Stanford University2.920.4%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.45Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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5.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.38California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 40.2% | 24.5% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 15.7% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 22.8% | 12.9% | 4.3% |
| Louise Currie | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 13.4% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 31.8% | 39.6% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 9.6% | 27.1% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.