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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.08vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.78+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-2.25vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.58-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.40+0.38vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-3.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.31Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.93California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Los Angeles0.580.1%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 41.8% | 28.3% | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 16.6% | 20.1% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.1% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Wyman | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 25.8% | 36.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 20.8% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 27.0% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.