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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-1.12vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42-1.62vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.78-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.40-0.54vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-4.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.38Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.91California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 41.8% | 27.3% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 17.6% | 21.7% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.5% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Maille Kennedy | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 22.3% | 22.9% | 20.2% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 26.7% | 38.3% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 28.1% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.