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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.07vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.78+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-0.25vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.49-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.40-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.32Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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6.73California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 42.9% | 27.4% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 16.6% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.7% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Maille Kennedy | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 25.0% | 20.3% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 24.0% | 40.8% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 16.9% | 28.3% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.