Race 2A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Rush 46.6% 27.4% 12.2% 7.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Donahue 10.4% 13.4% 17.7% 14.7% 15.4% 13.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.5% 0.0%
Tom Charpentier 2.5% 4.1% 4.1% 5.7% 8.0% 9.8% 14.6% 22.2% 19.6% 9.4%
Jon Beery 5.5% 10.6% 13.4% 14.2% 15.1% 14.6% 14.9% 6.9% 3.9% 0.9%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 15.6% 16.8% 19.4% 17.5% 12.6% 10.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3%
Christopher Hulse 3.7% 3.8% 4.6% 6.4% 8.2% 10.5% 16.9% 21.1% 16.5% 8.3%
Ryan Byrne 5.4% 7.5% 10.2% 12.9% 14.3% 16.8% 14.7% 12.1% 4.7% 1.4%
John Fonte 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 2.2% 3.8% 5.7% 8.7% 13.4% 25.8% 35.8%
Natalie Fohl 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 3.6% 6.7% 11.8% 24.3% 43.5%
Alexandra Arntsen 8.3% 13.9% 14.1% 16.8% 14.4% 14.5% 10.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.