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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.07vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.78+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.58-0.95vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.14-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.40-0.56vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-4.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.33Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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6.73California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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6.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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9.47University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 41.8% | 28.7% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 17.1% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Maille Kennedy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 23.9% | 20.3% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 27.1% | 38.1% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 15.5% | 28.4% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.