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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.09vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.20vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.14+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.78-2.58vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.40-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-2.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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4.34Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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6.85California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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6.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 41.4% | 28.5% | 16.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 16.7% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 2.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.2% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 15.6% | 24.7% | 39.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 12.9% | 21.9% | 26.7% | 17.9% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 24.7% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.