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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.26vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.15vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+0.36vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-4.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.78-4.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.49-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.40-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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4.46Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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6.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.86California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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3.64University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 41.5% | 26.9% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 18.4% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.7% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maille Kennedy | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 23.9% | 20.5% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 24.0% | 41.4% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 28.8% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.