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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.23vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.49+2.42vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.14-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-1.19vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-4.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.40-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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4.5Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.77California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 41.6% | 28.4% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 18.2% | 21.3% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.1% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 25.9% | 38.9% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 26.3% | 21.8% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 26.4% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.