← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.90+1.07vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.24vs Predicted
-
3Santa Clara University1.42+1.52vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.78+1.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.74-1.22vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.96vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95+1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.58-2.12vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-1.49+0.56vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-3.69vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-1.40-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.07Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
-
3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
-
4.52Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
-
5.72University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
-
3.78University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.96California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
9.56University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
9.33University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 42.4% | 27.8% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 17.8% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.6% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Maille Kennedy | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 27.6% | 17.7% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 24.9% | 42.6% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 26.0% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.