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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.78+3.58vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.07vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.14-0.28vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-1.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.40-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California0.780.1%1st Place
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4.48Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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6.72California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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6.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Berkeley-1.400.0%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 42.3% | 27.9% | 16.4% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 16.5% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.0% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Maille Kennedy | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 21.9% | 26.0% | 21.6% |
| Ekaterina Goncharova | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 25.8% | 36.5% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 16.2% | 26.2% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.