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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+0.97vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.19vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.70+1.01vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-0.69+1.79vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.13-0.27vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.95-2.37vs Predicted
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7Queen's University-0.74-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Pennsylvania2.340.4%1st Place
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2.19Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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4.01Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.79Ocean County College-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.73Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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3.63Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.68Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 44.0% | 28.7% | 17.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 32.6% | 34.2% | 19.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 7.1% | 9.7% | 19.7% | 24.3% | 21.8% | 12.7% | 4.7% |
| Jamie Wasco | 0.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 27.2% | 41.1% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 26.1% | 23.1% | 11.9% |
| Stephanie Hart | 10.0% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 26.4% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.