← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.09+0.57vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.37+0.21vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.90+0.35vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.92+0.30vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.57University of Hawaii1.0957.8%1st Place
-
2.21University of Hawaii0.3725.9%1st Place
-
3.35University of California at San Diego-0.907.5%1st Place
-
4.3University of California at San Diego-1.922.8%1st Place
-
3.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.176.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 57.8% | 29.6% | 10.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Elin Reigstad | 25.9% | 38.8% | 24.9% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Emma Kalway | 7.5% | 14.6% | 28.5% | 33.4% | 15.9% |
| Diana Vins | 2.8% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 60.6% |
| Mira Shupe | 6.0% | 11.4% | 25.2% | 35.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.