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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.23+5.41vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.38+4.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+3.51vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+0.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87-0.24vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.52vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.29-0.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.39-1.77vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-1.63vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97-2.46vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-5.35vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-5.99vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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7.22George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.54Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.65Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| India Johnstone | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 0.7% |
| Amina Brown | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 0.5% |
| Katja Sertl | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 0.3% |
| Brigette Croke | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 0.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Camille Matile | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 94.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.