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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+4.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+5.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+2.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.05+4.34vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+2.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.29+1.60vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38-0.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.39-0.91vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-3.83vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-3.29vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-5.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.28vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.26Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.91George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.09Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 1.1% |
| Camille Matile | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 0.2% |
| Katja Sertl | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 0.5% |
| India Johnstone | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Brigette Croke | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 94.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.