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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.39+6.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+2.86vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.38+4.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+2.68vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.05+3.36vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+1.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+0.19vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97+0.44vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-4.56vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.87-5.25vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.23-4.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.25vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.86Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.19George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.44Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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13.81SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brigette Croke | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| India Johnstone | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 0.6% |
| Camille Matile | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 0.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 0.9% |
| Katja Sertl | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 0.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 95.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.