Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
India Johnstone 6.2% 6.8% 8.0% 8.9% 7.2% 9.8% 6.7% 6.5% 9.2% 7.8% 7.1% 9.2% 6.2% 0.4%
Amina Brown 13.4% 12.8% 10.8% 11.1% 9.3% 10.3% 8.6% 6.5% 6.2% 4.1% 3.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Casey Klingler 13.9% 12.4% 14.0% 10.0% 8.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.9% 5.0% 4.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Courtney Koos 6.8% 8.7% 8.9% 7.5% 9.2% 8.0% 9.4% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 6.9% 4.4% 0.5%
Greta Farrell 4.4% 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 6.7% 7.1% 6.4% 8.5% 7.3% 9.0% 9.7% 10.6% 11.3% 0.7%
Kelly McGlynn 10.7% 10.5% 9.8% 11.0% 10.5% 7.0% 9.0% 6.5% 7.4% 6.8% 4.4% 4.6% 1.8% 0.0%
Brigette Croke 8.4% 8.3% 7.4% 7.8% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.6% 7.5% 8.3% 7.7% 7.4% 5.8% 0.3%
Katja Sertl 6.7% 6.1% 8.3% 6.4% 6.3% 7.2% 6.9% 8.4% 8.8% 8.4% 7.1% 9.1% 10.0% 0.3%
Lindsey Kennett 5.6% 3.2% 6.1% 5.1% 6.0% 5.6% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 9.4% 10.6% 11.5% 13.5% 0.9%
Mackenzie Needham 5.1% 6.5% 5.1% 5.8% 7.9% 7.7% 6.0% 8.6% 8.5% 7.9% 9.6% 10.7% 10.0% 0.6%
Kate Levinson 7.0% 6.1% 4.2% 8.2% 7.1% 8.0% 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 7.9% 9.7% 8.1% 9.6% 0.2%
Quinn Howes 4.4% 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 6.5% 6.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 10.1% 9.4% 10.2% 17.0% 1.1%
Camille Matile 7.3% 8.0% 7.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.4% 9.6% 8.4% 8.2% 7.2% 9.2% 6.6% 6.9% 0.1%
Emily Brownawell 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 94.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.