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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+6.34vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.38+4.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+2.80vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.29+1.56vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.39-0.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56-1.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-1.59vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-3.82vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-6.32vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97-4.61vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.94George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.03Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.18Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.39Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.5% |
| India Johnstone | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 0.6% |
| Katja Sertl | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 0.7% |
| Brigette Croke | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 1.1% |
| Camille Matile | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 94.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.