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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+6.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.39+5.16vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+2.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+3.55vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+0.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+1.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.29+0.45vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.05+0.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-3.57vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-1.92vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.87vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-7.51vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97-4.35vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.33Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.55George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.43Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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4.49Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.65Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 0.5% |
| Brigette Croke | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| India Johnstone | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Katja Sertl | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 0.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 16.0% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 0.5% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.