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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.52+5.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+2.30vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+5.12vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+1.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.39+2.48vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06-0.53vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+0.18vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-2.60vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.97-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23-1.96vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.05-2.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30-4.28vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.29-5.39vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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4.3Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.47Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.4Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.77Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah De Silva | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 18.5% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 0.7% |
| Amina Brown | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Brigette Croke | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 0.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| India Johnstone | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 0.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 0.5% |
| Katja Sertl | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 94.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.