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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.32vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+3.41vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+2.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+0.48vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38+2.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+1.86vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.05+1.25vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.03vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29-1.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.39-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-3.01vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.97-3.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-6.12vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.35Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.48Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.83Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.72Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 10.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 12.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 0.3% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 0.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 0.4% |
| Katja Sertl | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 0.7% |
| Brigette Croke | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 0.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 0.9% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.