Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
India Johnstone 5.9% 5.8% 7.2% 8.4% 6.6% 7.6% 8.4% 7.6% 9.4% 9.5% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 0.5%
Erin Mullins 14.0% 11.7% 10.2% 11.1% 10.9% 10.2% 7.5% 8.5% 5.6% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8% 1.7% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 5.2% 4.7% 7.2% 6.0% 5.4% 5.6% 5.4% 8.9% 7.0% 10.2% 10.6% 11.2% 11.9% 0.7%
Lindsey Kennett 3.5% 4.4% 5.0% 5.3% 6.9% 5.8% 6.5% 7.3% 8.0% 9.5% 9.1% 12.1% 15.3% 1.3%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 14.4% 15.3% 14.6% 12.1% 9.6% 8.8% 7.6% 5.6% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Casey Klingler 11.3% 12.0% 9.9% 10.0% 10.8% 9.5% 8.6% 6.5% 7.4% 5.0% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Quinn Howes 4.1% 5.2% 6.0% 5.4% 5.5% 5.7% 5.2% 6.8% 8.0% 8.1% 11.4% 12.3% 15.5% 0.8%
Amina Brown 12.4% 11.4% 9.5% 9.5% 10.2% 9.0% 8.5% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 6.2% 4.0% 6.2% 5.3% 6.4% 7.5% 9.1% 8.7% 8.4% 8.6% 10.2% 10.0% 9.1% 0.3%
Brigette Croke 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 7.9% 8.4% 9.1% 10.0% 7.5% 0.4%
Katja Sertl 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 6.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.2% 7.7% 9.5% 10.1% 8.9% 8.9% 9.9% 0.3%
Sarah De Silva 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 7.5% 8.3% 8.9% 9.4% 8.1% 7.2% 7.6% 7.0% 6.3% 0.4%
Mackenzie Needham 5.4% 6.3% 5.3% 5.9% 5.3% 7.5% 8.1% 7.9% 8.8% 8.3% 10.2% 10.3% 10.5% 0.2%
Emily Brownawell 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 95.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.