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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.30vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.05+6.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.29+4.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+3.76vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+2.05vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.38+0.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.00vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.52-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-4.31vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-6.41vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.39-4.55vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97-4.38vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.49Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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7.14George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.06Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.59Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.62Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 0.6% |
| Katja Sertl | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 0.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 0.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 0.8% |
| India Johnstone | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 0.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brigette Croke | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 0.5% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.