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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+0.98vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.11+0.18vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.70+0.97vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-0.69+1.80vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.95-1.33vs Predicted
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6Queen's University-0.74-0.18vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.13-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Pennsylvania2.340.4%1st Place
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2.18Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.97Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.8Ocean County College-0.690.0%1st Place
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3.67Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.82Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
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4.59Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 43.1% | 29.6% | 16.9% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 33.9% | 33.3% | 18.7% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 7.3% | 9.8% | 20.5% | 24.2% | 21.2% | 12.8% | 4.2% |
| Jamie Wasco | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 28.7% | 40.0% |
| Stephanie Hart | 8.6% | 14.3% | 23.4% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 26.0% | 42.8% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 4.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 26.3% | 22.3% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.