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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.52+5.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+3.16vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.97+5.67vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+3.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.23+3.01vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.29+1.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-2.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30-0.36vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.85vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-5.27vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.39-4.55vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-7.64vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.75-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.16Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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7.44George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.31Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.8SUNY Stony Brook-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah De Silva | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 0.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 13.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 0.9% |
| India Johnstone | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 0.6% |
| Katja Sertl | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 0.8% |
| Amina Brown | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Brigette Croke | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Brownawell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 94.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.