Race 1B

president

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lindsey Baab 13.7% 15.6% 15.3% 12.5% 7.9% 9.3% 6.8% 6.1% 4.6% 3.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 11.7% 11.4% 10.6% 9.5% 9.6% 9.6% 11.5% 7.5% 6.9% 5.1% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 5.4% 5.7% 6.5% 7.8% 7.7% 4.9% 8.4% 9.1% 9.8% 10.4% 9.4% 9.3% 4.8% 0.8%
Miranda Bakos 7.1% 7.2% 9.4% 8.8% 9.4% 9.3% 10.5% 7.8% 9.4% 7.4% 6.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Elise Gehling 5.1% 6.5% 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.4% 8.2% 8.0% 10.2% 8.2% 9.5% 7.8% 4.9% 0.5%
Lizzy Hamilton 7.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 9.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.1% 8.5% 8.1% 8.6% 6.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Janel DeCurtis 4.1% 5.1% 5.8% 4.7% 6.1% 5.6% 6.0% 7.3% 9.1% 11.1% 10.7% 15.1% 7.9% 1.4%
Marly Isler 9.7% 11.6% 8.5% 9.4% 10.9% 8.0% 8.9% 8.8% 6.9% 6.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Fiona Walsh 5.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 5.4% 6.4% 6.7% 9.1% 7.7% 12.5% 12.5% 12.9% 8.3% 1.4%
Lindsay Doyle 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 10.0% 9.4% 8.9% 7.8% 10.7% 8.8% 7.7% 8.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Sarah Hermus 18.5% 14.5% 13.7% 10.9% 10.1% 10.7% 6.8% 6.3% 3.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Gillian Boehringer 3.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 10.0% 10.6% 11.3% 14.3% 14.0% 2.4%
Christina Wettersten 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.2% 3.8% 3.9% 4.8% 8.4% 14.0% 40.8% 12.2%
Jessica Kurlander 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 3.0% 10.3% 80.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.