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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+6.36vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.51+4.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+1.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+0.66vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+3.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+0.01vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.92+1.12vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58-1.61vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-3.30vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34-2.71vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-4.52vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-0.68vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-4.02vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.42Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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4.66Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.7Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.29Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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8.98Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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13.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 18.5% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.0% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
| Marly Isler | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Christina Wettersten | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 39.4% | 12.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 2.7% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 11.8% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.